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Solving the Dilemma: A Leadership Model for Irregular Warfare (‘Guerrilla Leader Series’ – Part 3 of 3)

Solving the Dilemma: A Leadership Model for Irregular Warfare (‘Guerrilla Leader Series’ – Part 3 of 3)

by Joey Middleton | Apr 13, 2026 | SOF and Strategic Competition, SOF Operations

By Dr. Joseph Long “Every intervention begins as a story of liberation. Without adaptation, it ends as a story of occupation.” Why do militarily superior forces consistently win the fight—but lose the peace? This is not a new question. It is the defining paradox of...
Mind Games: How Disaggregated Power Is Reshaping Warfare

Mind Games: How Disaggregated Power Is Reshaping Warfare

by Joey Middleton | Apr 13, 2026 | SOF and Strategic Competition

By Andrew Rolander   Intro The convergence of rapid technological proliferation, economic globalization, and liquidity in democratic institutions has disaggregated key coercive capabilities of the state to subnational political agents and non-state actors. These...
Structure, Agency, and the Stability Gamble: What Irregular Warfare Theory Reveals About U.S. Strategy

Structure, Agency, and the Stability Gamble: What Irregular Warfare Theory Reveals About U.S. Strategy

by Joey Middleton | Apr 13, 2026 | SOF and Strategic Competition

By Ron MacCammon Rapoport’s Waves and the Question of Agency  In 2004, terrorism scholar David C. Rapoport introduced his influential “Four Waves of Modern Terrorism” framework. He argued that modern political violence unfolds in roughly forty-year cycles, each...
The Double-Edged Weapon of Counter-Narratives

The Double-Edged Weapon of Counter-Narratives

by Joey Middleton | Apr 6, 2026 | SOF and Strategic Competition

By Elizabeth Boyett Counter-narratives are strategic stories that reframe meaning—and thus behavior—against an adversary’s frame. They work only when the audience is matched, credibly carried, and enacted in deeds. Used as messaging alone, they backfire by amplifying...
The Strategic Shift: A Leader’s Guide to the Risk to Follower Model (‘Guerrilla Leader Series’ – Part 2 of 3)

The Strategic Shift: A Leader’s Guide to the Risk to Follower Model (‘Guerrilla Leader Series’ – Part 2 of 3)

by Joey Middleton | Apr 6, 2026 | SOF and Strategic Competition

By  Dr. Joseph Long  In the preceding analysis—the first installment of what has become a three-part series—I introduced the Guerrilla Leader Theory (GLT), a framework that provides a static taxonomy of leadership for the human domain. It posits that a leader’s...
Modern War Institute | The Sisyphean Struggle for Influence Campaigning in Competition

Modern War Institute | The Sisyphean Struggle for Influence Campaigning in Competition

by Joey Middleton | Apr 6, 2026 | SOF and Strategic Competition

By SWJ Staff Check out this latest article from The Modern War Institute! Jeremy Mushtare argues in “The Sisyphean Struggle for Influence Campaigning in Competition” that U.S. influence efforts fail because they lack prioritization, integration, and alignment with...
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Recent Posts

  • Solving the Dilemma: A Leadership Model for Irregular Warfare (‘Guerrilla Leader Series’ – Part 3 of 3)
  • Mind Games: How Disaggregated Power Is Reshaping Warfare
  • Structure, Agency, and the Stability Gamble: What Irregular Warfare Theory Reveals About U.S. Strategy
  • The Impact of Synchronization vs. Scrutinization in TSOC Operations
  • The Double-Edged Weapon of Counter-Narratives

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