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Spectacular Drone Strikes and the Future Sanctuary of the U.S. Homeland

Spectacular Drone Strikes and the Future Sanctuary of the U.S. Homeland

How vulnerable is the continental United States to drone attack? Could a wily adversary cause vast destruction of military assets on U.S. soil at a fraction of the cost it would take to replace them? Ukraine and Israel’s stunning drone attacks against high value targets deep within Russia and Iran, respectively, in June 2025 raise serious questions about whether the United States homeland will remain a sanctuary. America has long enjoyed the advantages of favorable geography. Aside from nuclear-armed missiles, the continental United States has largely remained out of reach of conventional kinetic attacks from major adversaries.
AI Enhanced Risks to Irregular Warfare

AI Enhanced Risks to Irregular Warfare

The practice of irregular warfare has a checkered history when it comes to long-term outcomes. It is extremely difficult to forecast how fighting over the will and support of a population will lead to unintended consequences in the years and decades that follow any irregular warfare operation. The introduction of AI into the information-centric style of fighting is poised to increase the speed of irregular warfare beyond the ability of human operators to control, potentially damaging populations and causing irreversible second- and third-order effects at an unsustainable rate.
Unconventional Warfare: Solving Complex Political-Military Problems and Creating Dilemmas for Adversaries

Unconventional Warfare: Solving Complex Political-Military Problems and Creating Dilemmas for Adversaries

In the 21st century strategic landscape, unconventional warfare (UW) is not a relic of Cold War shadow conflicts. It is a vital instrument of national power: a disciplined, sophisticated, and intellectually demanding capability required to solve the most complex political-military problems (or assist in solving them alongside the Joint Force or Intelligence Community). In addition to solving problems, UW creates dilemmas for adversaries operating in the gray zone between peace and war. It is also a necessary capability before, during, and after large scale combat operations. It is, as many have long argued, a foundational component of the Special Forces identity and one of the three legs of what I call the “two SOF trinities.”
What is Key Terrain? Rethinking a Fundamental Military Concept in the Age of Economic Warfare

What is Key Terrain? Rethinking a Fundamental Military Concept in the Age of Economic Warfare

In an era where economic linkages are global and dense, strategic competition increasingly unfolds in the networks of supply chains, finance, and data rather than purely on physical battlefields. US military doctrine has long emphasized key terrain—ranging from hilltops or river crossings at the tactical level to major features whose control carries operational or even strategic implications such as the Bashi Channel, Fulda Gap, or Strait of Hormuz. But today’s most consequential terrain may be nonphysical: manufacturing dominance in key sectors like semiconductors, assured access to minerals like rare earth elements, control over natural gas infrastructure, or the security of undersea cables. These systems, once considered logistical backdrops, are now central instruments of national power.
Survivability Drift Theory and Attrition Mitigation in Special Operations Forces

Survivability Drift Theory and Attrition Mitigation in Special Operations Forces

Survivability Drift Theory (SDT) provides a practical framework to interrupt escalating attrition in special operations forces (SOF). Despite elite selection and resilience-focused programming, negative survivability trends in SOF account for losses that in other warfighting systems would trigger invasive corrective action. SDT identifies these patterned losses not as random, but as a progressive, detectable syndrome—drift, that unfolds across six key domains: neurological, moral, relational, cognitive, interoceptive, and identity. Drift is recursive, measurable, and reversible, providing commanders and clinicians with actionable opportunities for intervention before catastrophic endpoints.
Lessons from U.S. Army Special Ops on Becoming a Leader

Lessons from U.S. Army Special Ops on Becoming a Leader

Leading through volatility is now the most in-demand skill at U.S. companies (topping AI fluency), according to dozens of senior human resources executives I polled recently at Fortune 100 companies from an array of industries, including healthcare, sales, finance, food service, manufacturing, tech, and biotech. The demand has been driven by recent spikes in global uncertainty, technological disruption, and economic instability.
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